The Danger Of Buying The Next Dip

It is a common refrain heard from many cocksure investors today. Sure, the market is a bit expensive and overdue for a correction, but I’ll simply wait for the inevitable -10% pullback, buy the dip and ride the market to new heights. But does such a strategy make sense at this stage of the graying bull market? A check on market history over the last century provides some useful clues.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

The Great Bear Market Warrior

U.S. stocks are once again chasing fresh all-time highs. But despite this latest round of stock market cheer, some investors remain understandably cautious. Not only are stock valuations generally rich at a time when economic growth remains sluggish, but we are also now on the cusp of entering what has historically been a seasonally unfavorable time of year for stocks from May to November. Moreover, it has been well over two years since the stock market has experienced a sustained correction in excess of -10%, which is a long stretch by historical standards. Thus, those stock investors seeking to protect against potential downside risk in the months ahead may be interested in considering high quality stocks that have demonstrated the ability to perform well during periods of broader market weakness. And since the start of the new millennium, one name has performed particularly well in this regard including during the two major bear markets that have occurred along the way.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

The Event That Will End The Bull Market

The stock market is trading within 2% of its all-time peak reached at the beginning of April. And following an impressive bull market that recently entered its sixth year, it seems that the trauma that was the financial crisis is becoming a distant memory. Of course, the stock market did not achieve its miraculous recovery all on its own. Instead, it had the generous and ongoing support of the U.S. Federal Reserve for much of the journey to recovery through its daily asset purchases as part of its various quantitative easing (QE) stimulus programs. With all of this in mind, the experience of the last few years raises a worthwhile question to ponder. Exactly what would the markets have looked like without QE? Exploring the answer to this question is particularly worthwhile, as it provides important insights into what to expect from the stock market once the Fed ends its latest QE3 stimulus program in the coming months. More significantly, it may provide important insights into how exactly the current bull market may finally come to an end.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

Assessing The Recent Stock Market Damage

Stocks endured another round of eventful trading this week. After reaching new all-time highs to start off the new quarter, stocks entered into a suddenly sharp descent last Friday, and have been moving lower in fits and starts over the several days since. And by the close of trading this Friday, stocks, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, were once again in negative territory for the year. This latest bout of pressure raises the natural questions. Are stocks finally entering a sustained corrective phase? Or is this just another pullback in the ongoing bull market rise?

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

Strategies For Earnings Season And Beyond

The second quarter is underway and earnings season will soon be upon us starting next week. And following Friday’s U.S. employment report that provided a solid headline but is still not all that great in the grand scheme of things, it is worthwhile to consider what we might expect from capital markets in the coming weeks and beyond. The good news is that attractive opportunities are likely to present themselves for those at the ready. But they are likely to be accompanied by more bouts of increased volatility.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

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