Is A Stealth Liquidation In Stocks Underway?

It is September 2014 and all is well. Or is it? The U.S. stock market set a new all-time high earlier in the month and is less than +2% from striking another fresh peak despite some modest weakness in recent days. The uptrend in stocks also remains firmly intact and is supported by an economy that while sluggish is still plodding along. But despite this generally placid appearance on the surface, some notable signs of deterioration are growing underneath that warrant close attention in the days ahead. For it is possible that something much more substantial to the downside may be slowly starting to brew.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

Are Stocks Set For A Major Decline In The Fall?

The market news coverage is becoming increasingly polarized. On one side of the debate are those that believe the sky is the limit for stocks in the months ahead. With stocks reaching a fresh all-time high on Friday, this view has yet to be invalidated. On the other side of the discussion are those that expect a significant stock market pullback is not only imminent but also long overdue. Given the fact that we are soon entering what has historically been a tumultuous time of year for stocks, such expectations may soon be validated. Who is right? Only time will tell, but in working to identify the answer it is worthwhile to explore market history to see if we can identify clues as to whether the stock market is setting up for a major decline as we head into the fall of 2014.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

The Good News From A Bad Friday

Friday was another down day for stocks following the notable -2% decline on Thursday. After a few feeble pushes to the upside in the early morning trade, stocks rolled over and were solidly down once again by midday before battling back into the close. But despite the generally poor performance of stocks for a second consecutive day on Friday, several important points of good news accompanied the bad. Overall, investors could find reassurance at least as we head into the weekend that the latest stock market correction is taking on a more orderly behavior.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

Why Thursday’s Sell-Off Matters

The stock market was rocked on Thursday, posting its worst single day decline in nearly four months. Such declines are certainly not unexpected, and it was clear following a spring and summer of quiet markets that some degree of downside volatility was more than overdue. But unlike many other recent stock market pullbacks, Thursday’s decline was notable, as it came with a convergence of troubling forces not seen in capital markets in over a year. In short, the stock market sell-off on Thursday matters, and how events unfold in the coming days should be watched closely for potential action, if needed.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

Is A Stock Market Correction Imminent?

It is widely held even among the most bullish stock investors that the market is overdue for at least some sort of pullback. But this frequently discussed topic raises a number of additional important questions. When exactly might we expect such a correction to take place? How far can we expect the stock market to fall once it finally arrives? How should investors react once this correction finally takes place? And what will this anticipated pullback mean for the sustainability of the long running bull market?

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

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