The Event That Will End The Bull Market

The stock market is trading within 2% of its all-time peak reached at the beginning of April. And following an impressive bull market that recently entered its sixth year, it seems that the trauma that was the financial crisis is becoming a distant memory. Of course, the stock market did not achieve its miraculous recovery all on its own. Instead, it had the generous and ongoing support of the U.S. Federal Reserve for much of the journey to recovery through its daily asset purchases as part of its various quantitative easing (QE) stimulus programs. With all of this in mind, the experience of the last few years raises a worthwhile question to ponder. Exactly what would the markets have looked like without QE? Exploring the answer to this question is particularly worthwhile, as it provides important insights into what to expect from the stock market once the Fed ends its latest QE3 stimulus program in the coming months. More significantly, it may provide important insights into how exactly the current bull market may finally come to an end.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

How To Tame A Bear Market Like A Champion

Investors have endured two major bear markets since the turn of the millennium. During these past episodes from 2000 to 2002 and 2007 to 2009, many investors saw the value of their stock portfolios cut in half if not worse. And following a virtually uninterrupted rally following the end of the last bear market in March 2009, a growing number investors are wondering whether we may soon be entering a third major bear market in the coming years. For those investors concerned about such an outcome, history has shown that a select group of stocks have collectively demonstrated the ability to tame these past bear markets and helped protect the value of investor portfolios. Of course, whether they can pull off such a feat a third time around remains to be seen.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

Financial Crisis Early Warning System

Social unrest is exploding across many parts of the world. In the past week alone we have witnessed scenes of violence erupt in several emerging market countries in different parts of the world. While the unfolding events are important to monitor closely from a geopolitical and humanitarian perspective, it is also important to consider the following – at what point might these events start to have an impact on investment markets including stocks? For if the financial stability of any of these at risk countries starts to crumble, the threat of a global financial contagion could soon follow as the fallout effects have the potential to be the catalyst for the next major market crisis. In monitoring the situation, two key market indicators are readily available to keep investors informed as to whether further action is needed.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

How To Add Some Spice To Your Portfolio

McCormick is the undisputed giant in the global spices and seasonings industry. As investment markets struggle to digest the uncertainty that has come with increased volatility in the New Year, McCormick is a stock that offers investors a demonstrated track record of smooth and satisfying long-term results regardless of the market environment. And following a recent sharp pullback, it is now also offering investors a potentially zesty short-term total returns opportunity.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

Disclosure: This article is for information purposes only. There are risks involved with investing including loss of principal. Gerring Capital Partners makes no explicit or implicit guarantee with respect to performance or the outcome of any investment or projections made. There is no guarantee that the goals of the strategies discussed by Gerring Capital Partners will be met.

The Pain Has Only Just Begun

The stock market today is incredibly fragile. It was not long ago in the aftermath of the financial crisis that stock investors were tough and battle tested. Persistent uncertainty and sudden volatility were the themes of the day as markets worked to find their footing in the wake of the near implosion of the financial system. But investor memories are distressingly short, as the continuous salve of extraordinarily aggressive monetary policy over the last five years has helped increasingly sedate investors into a soft complacency with the apparent expectation that stocks should do nothing other than go up day after day. These same forces have driven the bears into a deep hibernation with the psychological scars of feeling right but ending up wrong following so many market corrections over the last few years. What we are left with as a result is a frail investor mindset that can tolerate little to no pain. And this condition will help ensure that today’s bull market will ultimately die a slow and laborious death once the tide finally turns.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.


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