Gold: No Silver Lining

Gold is continuing its impressive 2016 rally into early February. But the recent surge may be coming to the end of the line, at least for the short term. Gold has not only reached overbought levels, but it is also missing an important silver lining of support behind its advance.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

Gold: Time To Get On Board?

Gold has gotten off to a rousing start in 2016. During the first month of the new trading year, the yellow metal has risen by more than +5% at a time when the stock market as measured by the S&P 500 Index has stumbled out of the gates by falling -5% over the same time period. This strong beginning to 2016 raises a key question. Is it finally time to get on board the gold trade following a more than four-year bear market to date in the precious metal?

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

Lessons From Another Tough Week & The Big Day Ahead

It was another challenging week for the market. Overall, risk assets across various market segments moved steadily lower throughout the week. And those that had been heavily punished the prior week mostly struggled to find their footing. Capital markets are notably weak heading into the main event looming in the coming week. This, of course, is the latest meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee, which is expected to set the table for raising interest rates in the coming months. Given the market dependence on central bank liquidity, it is a meeting this Tuesday and Wednesday that has the potential to set the tone for the markets throughout the spring and into the summer.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

Gold: Will War Soon Be Over?

The war rages on for gold. It has been nearly three and a half years now since gold reached its cyclical bull market peak in September 2011. Since that time, the price drop in the yellow metal has been almost unyielding. But after a disastrous year for gold in 2013, it has been making slow and steady progress in working toward a bottom in the more than a year since. Many challenges remain, but we may soon be approaching a final bottom in gold after several years of turmoil.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

The Bull In Winter

All good things must come to an end. This includes the current bull market in U.S. stocks. At nearly six years, it already ranks among the longest in history. And it has taken place during a time of heightened geopolitical and economic stress. A new bear market will eventually get underway. The only question is exactly when this change will take place. Whether it is in three years, later this year or has already begun remains to be seen. But a number of forces are increasingly converging that suggest that the demise of the graying bull market may now be drawing close. And no amount of cunning by global policy makers will be able to cheat death in the end.

Please click on the link to read more of my article on Seeking Alpha.

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