What It Means To Be Bearish

“Bullish” and “bearish” are adjectives that are often used to define different types of investors. But just because someone is bullish or bearish, it is not necessarily a determinant of how they are invested. For these descriptions are not investment strategies in and of themselves. Instead, they inform how an investor is viewing and managing risk associated with their strategy and asset allocation at any given point in time. This is an important distinction, particularly as investors position their portfolios for the months and years ahead.

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Overbought Is Overwrought

The S&P 500 Index is overbought. This is a situation when stock prices have risen too fast over a short-term period of time and may be susceptible to a pullback as a result. And the S&P 500 Index is currently as overbought as it has been in over a decade. But just because stocks are overbought does not mean that a sustained decline is likely to follow. In fact, stocks can not only remain overbought for an extended time, but they often find themselves pushing even further to the upside through any fleeting pullbacks or periods of consolidation in the immediate days, weeks and months that follow.

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Springtime Rally?

Stocks might be gearing up for a surprise springtime rally. What might be the catalyst even though stocks continue to trade at historically high premiums? Given the Bizarro world in which we continue to operate over the past couple of years, the eventual spark for an upside rally may at first seem counterintuitive. But then again, for some it may be far less surprising than most might think.

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Oroville Dam: Lessons For Investors

I live on the other side of the country from Oroville, California. Despite my distance, I find myself feeling genuine sympathy for those that have been directly affected by the crisis at Oroville Dam. At the same time, I am also deeply frustrated for what the problem represents, for it provides just the latest example of how the recently traumatic events could have been prevented by prudent actions taken long ago.

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The Beginning Of The End

A key driver of stock market gains throughout the post crisis period is slowly fading away. Who, if anyone, will be the marginal buyer of stocks if this important source of demand continues to fade away?

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