Bear Market Bound: A Market Idyl

A storm is coming. It has been a notoriously bad December for stocks so far with only six short trading days to go before the year is out. How bad has December been? And what might it be foreshadowing for the year ahead?

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Luckenbach, Texas, We Have A Problem

Waylon and Willie and the boys, where are you all now? For the first time since the calming of the financial crisis nearly a decade ago, the large cap U.S. stock market as measured by the S&P 500 Index is feeling pain. Not the pain from 2011 or 2015-16 that was grounded in reality but was quickly sedated away by phantasmal stock market gains. Today, U.S. stocks are feeling real pain like a trauma patient finally being allowed to awaken from a decade-long coma or weaned from a prolonged morphine drip. Indeed, we are long overdue to get back to the basics of investing in capital markets. But will policymakers allow the markets to get on with it?

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Enter Santa Man

An unforgiving autumn. U.S. stock investors have been stirred once again in recent weeks from their prolonged monetary stimulus-induced coma. Since its final peak in early October, the S&P 500 Index has fallen by more than -9% to date through Wednesday’s close and by more than -11% along the way on a peak-to-trough basis. Is the decade-long stock bull market finally over? Is now the time for investors to raise cash and head to the exits?

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Why The Next Bear Will Be Bad

Thought the month of October was bad? If so, you ain’t seen nothing yet. Why? Because the United States has been battling an increasingly challenging case of economic arrhythmia in recent years. And while potentially rather harmless and manageable at one time, policy makers have repeatedly refused to learn from the past, letting the problem fester and grow. Eventually, the rhythm is gonna get this market in a big time way.

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All Along The Watchtower

When it comes to investing, are you the joker or the thief?

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