Stock Investors Seeking Aristocratic Immunity

Investors may be interested in aristocratic immunity. With the U.S. stock market trading at historically high prices and valuations in what is currently the second longest bull market on record, some investors may be considering strategies to both continue to participate in further stock market upside while at the same time securing protection against the inevitable onset of the next bear market. Is owning stocks that have a long-term historical track record of annual dividend increases an effective strategy for achieving this goal?

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Stocks: Feelin’ Groovy On Living Island

The stock market continues to harmoniously rise as we wind down toward the final months of 2017. We know it’s been a happy year for stocks, but exactly how good has the U.S. stock market been this year? How good has it been of late? And what does this tell us, if anything about what we might expect for the remainder of 2017 and beyond?

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Long May You Run

Upon awakening early this morning to find an unfamiliar color other than green gracing my stock market screen, it seemed worthwhile to revisit the favorite foil of so many stock market bulls but also the friend of so many seeking true portfolio diversification. What is the latest outlook for the long-term U.S. Treasury market?

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Mystery Stock Theater 3000

It is almost as if the stock market itself has been imprisoned on the Satellite of Love for the past eight years. No matter what bad economic or market related movie is set before investors, stocks have shown the relentless ability to laugh it off while continuing to travel deeper into the universe of new all-time highs. And while risks continue to accumulate as each new bad geopolitical, economic and market data related movie increases the potential that stocks may finally go insane and capitulate to the downside, the fact remains that stocks continue to effortlessly riff to the upside in the meantime. All of this leads to an important worthwhile question – can we reasonably expect the economic and market “mysteries” that continue to confound both investors and central bankers alike to eventually propel the S&P 500 Index higher to 3000 and beyond? And if so, when?

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Field Of Stock Market Dreams

Such has been the premise of policy makers throughout the post financial crisis period. Plant ample and continuous liquidity seeds into the financial system, and watch over time as it grows into abundant low cost capital that is harvested by the market system to fund capital expenditures and economic growth. Increased profitability will subsequently follow, fostering wage gains and renewed economic prosperity. Sounds beautiful, doesn’t it. Unfortunately, thinking that something should or even may happen because of certain actions may increase the odds of success, but it does not guarantee it. For the laws of unintended consequences have an uncanny way of intervening to result in an entirely different outcome than originally intended or expected.

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