5 Bold Predictions For The Decade Ahead

An extraordinary decade for capital markets is drawing to a close. Over the course of the 2010s, the S&P 500 gained more than +250%, the long-term bond market increased in value by more than +100%, and even gold was higher in value by more than +30%. This was great news to the steadily shrinking percentage of Americans that continued to invest over the past ten years. So, what can we reasonably expect for capital markets coming up over the next decade of the 2020s? While only time will tell, the following are five bold predictions for the decade ahead.

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Silver Linings Playbook

From June 23, 2019

Gold has been shining bright as of late. After fading for much of 2019 since mid-February following an initially strong start to the year, gold has suddenly burst to life over the past four weeks. Since bottoming on May 21 at $1,269 per ounce, gold has surged by more than +10%. In the process, the yellow metal managed to trade above $1,400 per ounce for the first time in nearly six years. This marks gold’s latest upside progress, having now increased by roughly +34% since bottoming in late 2015 at $1,045 per ounce.

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The Dark Decade (Or The Investment Renaissance)

Stocks are expensive. Yes, we can debate at length about whether today’s premium valuations are justified or not. But they are still expensive today. And if history is any guide, this does not bode well for stock market returns in the decade ahead. But just because the stock market itself may not be setting up to do well over the next decade is not necessarily a bad thing. In fact, it may present an important time for rediscovery for what is starting to become a lost art in stock investing today.

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Eric Parnell Positions For 2018: Watch The Dollar

From Seeking Alpha:  Eric Parnell has written more than 1,000 Seeking Alpha articles, each providing readers with his thoughtful, yet direct, approach to market analysis. In this year’s interview with Executive Editor George Moriarty, the author of The Universal shares a bullish short- to medium-term outlook that delivers his usual circumspection, with some interesting surprises. Enjoy!

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Stayin’ Alive

The U.S. stock bull market is still alive. But after more than eight years and with stocks trading at historically high premiums despite a persistently sluggish economy, many investors are left to wonder after trading days like Thursday how swiftly and badly the bull market will finally end as well as the ferocity of the subsequent bear market that follows. How will today’s stock investors know that the bull market is finally over? And once they know, will it be too late to do anything about it?

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